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Ncaa Basketball Predictions 2011 – 2010 Rutgers Football Predictions

Sophomore Khaseem Greene is projected to take over at the vacated free safety spot.

Prediction – 4th Big East: The Knights have the chance to be the surprise team in the Big East this season, but a lot will depend on the production they get out of the offensive line and the newcomers on the defensive side of the ball. Ncaa Basketball Predictions 2011

The Scarlet Knights figure to be strong up front on the defensive side of the ball, as they return three of four starters to a defense that allowed just 103 yards per game on the ground. Ncaa Basketball Predictions 2011

Ncaa Basketball Predictions 2011

The Scarlet Knights also bring back one of the top running backs in the Big East in junior Joe Martinek, who ran for a team best 967 yards and nine touchdowns as a sophomore. Look for sophomore De’Antwan Williams to be more of a factor this season, after rushing for 235 yards and one score as a true freshman.

At linebacker the Scarlet Knights will have to find a new starter at both middle linebacker and on the strong side, as the only returning starter to this unit is senior weak-side linebacker Antonio Lowery. Sophomore Steve Beauharnais looks to have the early edge in the middle, while junior Manny Abreu figures to step at the open weak-side linebacker spot.

There is no question that the Scarlet Knights are loaded with young talent at the skill positions, but none of that will really matter if the offensive line doesn’t produce. It looks like red-shirt freshman Darrell Givens will get the first crack at replacing McCourty, as he is projected to step in and start opposite of junior David Rowe. The Knights do have road games against four of the top teams in the Big East, as they must travel to take on Pitt, USF, Cincinnati, and West Virginia. Savage has already earned a spot atop the top quarterbacks in the Big East, and you have to believe he is only going to put up better numbers in his second season.

Defense:

After finishing 9-4 in 2009, the Rutgers Scarlet Knights enter 2010 off five straight winning seasons. Sanu was also a big factor in the running game, with 348 yards and five more touchdowns. Junior Eric LeGrand and sophomore Scott Vallone return at the two starting defensive tackle spots, and they also get back two talented players on the outside in senior defensive ends Jonathan Freeny and Alex Silvestro.

Offense:

Quarterback Tom Savage made the 2009 Freshmen All- American team after throwing for 2,211 yards with a solid 14-7 touchdown to interception ratio.

At wide receiver the Scarlet Knights will have to replace Tim Brown, who had a monster senior season with 1,150 yards and nine touchdowns. We will find out just how good this kid is in 2010, as the Scarlet Knights have to reload up front on the offensive line. The front runner to step in and have a big season for the Scarlet Knights on the outside is sophomore Mohamed Sanu, who finished up 2009 with 51 catches for 639 yards and three touchdowns. At tight end sophomore DC Jefferson returns, and figures to make a much bigger impact in his second season as a starter.

The Scarlet Knights lost one of the top corners in the country in Devin McCourty, and there is no question they will struggle to replace his production. Here is a quick preview of what the Scarlet Knights will look like this season, plus my prediction on where they finish the year in the Big East. Despite the strong finish in 2009 the Knights were just 3-4 in conference play, a big disappointment for a team that was picked by a lot of experts to win the Big East last season. Ncaa Basketball Predictions 2011

. The Knights bring back starting strong safety Joe Lefeged, and he figures to be one of the top safeties in all of the Big East this season. The Scarlet Knights will return just 12 starters for the 2010 season, but with another relatively easy non-conference schedule I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Knights finish with a winning record again in 2010. The rest of the Big East teams better beat the Knights while they can, as this team is primed to be one of the top teams in the conference in 2011 and 2012 with so many young playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. The Scarlet Knights will send two new young players into the starting lineup this season, in red-shirt freshman Brandon Coleman and sophomore Tim Wright. The Knights do bring back one of the top left tackles in the conference in junior Art Frost, but there are plenty of holes that need to be filled before the season gets underway

Using Reverse Line Movement To Win

Carib ruled the roost season at 93-66-9, 58.5 percent, +18.55 units after ABC held the penthouse spot in the 2007-08 season.

So what exactly is reverse line movement? RLM takes place when a large majority of bets are on one team, yet the line moves in the opposite direction. Last year was a good RLM season for NFL sports betting (45-29, 60.8 percent, +11.91), but two sportsbooks that were in the top five in NFL RLM in both seasons.

By: Manny G

College Basketball sports betting was not too shabby either, with a two-year mark of 492-356-22, 58.0 percent, +91.96 units. Another important recommendation is to use a slow moving (but reliable) sportsbook. This would make Miami +6 the RLM play.

So what causes RLM when the aim of most sportsbooks is to get as close to balanced action on both sides as possible? The answer to this is quite simple: the sharp bettors; the one’s who give sports betting advice. The huge problem with this is that the nfl line, ncaaf line or nhl line may have moved too much by that time, and all of the value has been sucked out of the unpopular side.

The highest two-year winning percentage using RLM from the top five books belongs to College Football, which went 480-341-10, 58.5 percent, +95.10 units. However, instead of the line rising as you might expect, it instead drops to Chargers -6. Keep a close eye on Canbet here, as that Australian sportsbook cracked the top five both years.

So what we recommend is to only use the top five each season for each individual sport (in terms of units won). Keep an eyes on the top five sportsbooks at Sports Insights though, as NCAAF sports betting has been very liquid in that regard, with only one sportsbook (believe it or not, Bodog) finishing in the top five both years.

Also, games where over 60 percent of the public are on one side, yet there is reverse line movement of at least 10 cents on the Money Line from the opening number at the top five sportsbooks in MLB and NHL sports betting has also been profitable. This may enable you to get the stale more favorable sports betting line at the time the reverse line movement hits at the triggering Sportsbook. All of this will be fun to follow (not to mention profitable) when every sport except baseball are going on simultaneously during the winter months.

http://prosportsonline.net

To back this up, our friends over at Prosportsonline.net have tracked the records for games where over 60 percent of the public has been on one side, yet there was reverse line movement of at least one full point from the opening number at the top sportsbooks in NFL, NCAAF, NBA and NCAAB. The proper way to make a sports bet using reverse line movement is to place your bet as soon as there is an RLM of one full point (or 10 cents in MLB and NHL) off of the opening line. This is where an important word of caution is in order though. Sure, using this approach leaves open the possibility of the line turning around and moving back against you, but as you will see in bit, betting as soon as an RLM qualifies has been profitable in every major North American sport such as the last two seasons, so if one line turns around, so be it. We tracked the top five books for each of the pointspread sports for the last two years, as as you can see, this strategy has been profitable in every sport. To illustrate, let us say that San Diego Chargers open at -7 over the Miami Dolohins, and over 70 percent of the sports bets placed on the game are on San Diego. The records quoted below are based on the bets being made at the triggering books, so beating the move by a half-point or a few cents now and then would actually make your record even better.

Thus, following reverse line movements is the same thing a following the smart money. RLM takes place when more money/ sportsbook picks are bet by the small percentage of bettors that are on the unpopular side (the sharps) than is bet by the huge majority of players betting the popular side (the squares). Furthermore, they list the RLM records for many individual sportsbook, making it easy to spot which books this system is working at and which books it may be best to ignore.

NBA sports betting has the lowest two-year five-book RLM winning percentage among the 11/10 sports, but then again, every gambler in the world would kill to go 382-301-9, 55.9 percent, +48.90 units, and the 57.5 percent win rate this past season is nothing to sneeze at.

Now do the sharps win every single time? Absolutely not! However, they are right more often than they are wrong, so being on the same side as the sharps is a prudent strategy over the long run, and again, the best thing is that there in absolutely no conventional sports handicapping necessary..

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prosportsonline.net. It should be noted that many fewer MLB games have qualified so far this season (is the whole world using RLM now?), but smaller profits is still profit.Again, these records are for Money Lines only and do not include totals.Finally, NHL sports betting has picked up 148.49 units in two years, and unlike MLB, NHL had four sportsbooks out of the top five gain double-digit units this past season. Note that these records are for sides only and do not include totals.

The NFL sports betting is generally considered the toughest sport to beat, yet blindly following this method produced an exceptional 59.2 percent win rate last season, improving the two year record to 328-249-12, 56.8 percent, +59.06 units. Keep in mind that NCAAB was the most liquid sport in terms of top-five sportbooks however, with not a single sportsbook making the top five both years. Quite a few RLM followers watch the moves until almost game time, and then bet accordingly